Japan’s Sticky Dilemma: Trump, Tariffs, and Rice Turmoil
Japan Faces a Rice‑Trade Tension Ahead of Elections
Trump Urges Japan to Import More US Rice
US President Donald Trump has warned that Japan could face a 25 percent tariff on all imports starting August 1 if it fails to meet Washington’s deal.
The tariff is separate from those already imposed on cars, steel and aluminium.
What Rice Means for the Japanese Economy
- US rice sales to Japan account for only 0.37 percent of total exports.
- Even a doubling of imports would have a negligible impact on the overall trade balance.
- Japan could benefit if the tariff on Japanese autos were removed.
Rice Is a Cultural Staple in Japan
Japanese national identity is closely tied to short‑grain rice, which is grown domestically.
Importing large volumes would be seen as a national humiliation and an food‑security risk.
Public Opinion About American Rice
- Consumers regard US long‑grain varieties as lacking stickiness and quality.
- American rice is described by locals as “tastes awful”.
- Some farmers fear shortages if the country becomes reliant on imports.
Ishiba’s Political Balancing Act
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is navigating a narrow path:
– He must avoid provoking domestic rice‑farm lobbies.
– He must maintain an approval rating that would make aggressive trade moves politically perilous.
Current Rice‑Price Issues
- Rice prices have roughly doubled in the past 12 months.
- Factors include a hot summer in 2023, panic buying after a “megaquake” warning, alleged hoarding, and a surge in tourist demand.
- Tokyo has tapped emergency stockpiles and increased imports, especially from California.
With the upper‑house elections on July 20, Ishiba faces a potential political crisis that could lead him to resign after only 10 months in office.
